Warren Buffett bought nearly $5 billion worth of HP shares ⁠— here's why you might want to ride his coattails

·3 min read
Warren Buffett bought nearly $5 billion worth of HP shares ⁠— here's why you might want to ride his coattails
Warren Buffett bought nearly $5 billion worth of HP shares ⁠— here's why you might want to ride his coattails

Warren Buffett isn’t known for being a technology investor.

In his 2014 letter to shareholders, Buffett wrote that he prefers “simple businesses” and added that “if there’s lots of technology, we won’t understand it.”

But in recent years, the Oracle of Omaha has warmed up a bit to the tech space. His holding company Berkshire Hathaway started buying Apple in 2016. Now the iPhone giant is the largest public holding in its portfolio.

Just last month, Berkshire revealed that it had purchased 121 million shares of PC and printer hardware company HP (HPQ), a stake worth nearly $4.7 billion at today’s prices.

Let’s quickly dig into the move, and figure out if following Buffett into HP makes sense for investors.

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An unexpected shopping spree

Berkshire’s cash pile grew to a near-record $146.7 billion at the end of 2021, largely because Buffett found little that excited him. He is a value investor, after all, and U.S. stock market valuations were bloated up until a few months ago.

But based on his company’s recent moves, it's clear that Buffett now sees opportunity in the market.

In March, Berkshire snapped up over 136 million shares of Occidental Petroleum (OXY), representing nearly 15% of the integrated oil and gas giant’s total shares outstanding.

Later in the month, Berkshire reached an agreement to buy insurance company Alleghany for $11.6 billion.

And now, by loading up 121 million shares of HP, Berkshire has become its largest shareholder with an 11.4% stake.

A fast-growing company

With a market cap of around $41 billion, HP isn’t nearly as big as Buffett’s other major tech holding, Apple. But it’s one of the leading players in the PC industry.

And business is not standing still.

In HP’s fiscal Q1, revenue grew 8.8% year over year to $17 billion. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.10, up 19.6% from the year-ago period and well above management’s prior outlook.

In March, HP announced that it would acquire video and voice solutions company Poly in an all-cash transaction valued at $3.3 billion. The move should accelerate HP’s growth strategy, helping it build a leading portfolio of hybrid work solutions.

The company is returning cash to investors, too. HP pays quarterly dividends of 25 cents per share, translating to a decent annual yield of 2.6%.

It’s also buying back its shares: In fiscal Q1, HP spent $1.5 billion of cash to repurchase approximately 42.6 million shares of common stock.

Buffett loves cheap stocks

Due to growing investor interest, many tech stocks have rallied significantly in recent years, pushing their valuations to uncomfortably high levels.

However, HP remains relatively cheap, a characteristic that Buffett loves to see in his investment purchases.

Despite the multi-year rally in tech, HP has a price-to-earnings ratio of 7. That’s not only substantially lower than the S&P 500’s average P/E of 21, but also below the company’s own five-year average P/E of 10.

Given Wall Street’s positive reaction to the investment — both HP and Berkshire shares are up nicely since the announcement — following Buffett’s coattails might not be a bad idea.

“We view Berkshire buying HPQ shares as a positive that validates HPQ’s strategy/deep value,” writes Evercore ISI analyst Amit Daryanani in a note to investors.

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