Category 1 Hurricane Ian path, advisory & warnings

Article first published: Thursday, September 29, 2022, 5 am EST

Article last updated: Thursday, September 29, 2022, 11 pm EST

According to the National Hurricane Center’s 11 pm Thursday advisory, Ian left Florida and headed to the Atlantic Ocean. The system changed into a tropical storm and then into a Category 1 hurricane. The system is moving with sustained winds of 85 miles per hour. Category 1 Hurricane Ian is 185 miles south of Charleston South Carolina and, 265 miles south-southwest of Cape Fear North Carolina, with maximum sustained wind of 85 mph. It’s moving 10 mph to the north-northeast.

"A turn toward the north is expected early Friday, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest with an increase in forward speed Friday night." meteorologists state. "On the forecast track, Ian will approach the coast of South Carolina on Friday." They also said "Ian could strengthen a little more before landfall tomorrow, and is forecast to rapidly weaken over the southeastern United States late Friday into Saturday."

YESTERDAY (Wednesday):

Ian, previously brewing in the Gulf of Mexico, made landfall on the coast of Florida. There were a lot of changes yesterday, specially at night. The system changed into a Category 4 hurricane and a Category 3 hurricane but it ended up as a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds of 90 miles per hour.

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning south of the Flagler/Volusia County Line has been discontinued.

The Hurricane Watch south of the Savannah River has been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for:

- Flagler/Volusia County Line to Cape Fear

- Neuse River

- St. Johns River

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for:

- Savannah River to Cape Fear

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:

- Flagler/Volusia County Line to Savannah River

- Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina

- Pamlico Sound

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for:

- North of Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina

- Pamlico River

- Cape Fear River

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for:

- East of Cape Fear to Surf City

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere in eastern North Carolina should monitor the progress of Ian.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

* Edisto Beach to Little River Inlet...4-7 ft * Flagler/Volusia County Line to Edisto Beach...3-5 ft * Litter River Inlet to Cape Fear...3-5 ft * Cape Fear River...2-4 ft * St. Johns River...2-4 ft * East of Cape Fear to Duck, including Pamlico and Neuse Rivers...2-4 ft * Patrick Air Force Base to Flagler/Volusia County Line... 1-3 ft * Albemarle Sound...1-2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to begin in the Hurricane Warning area starting early Friday, with tropical storm conditions beginning overnight.

Tropical storm conditions are now occurring in parts of the warning area on the northeast coast of Florida and should spread northward along the Georgia and North Carolina coasts tonight through Friday.

Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area in North Carolina on Friday.

RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce the following storm total rainfall amounts:

* Coastal Georgia: 1 to 2 inches. * Northeast South Carolina: 4 to 8 inches, with local maxima of 12 inches. * Central South Carolina, North Carolina, and southern Virginia: 3 to 6 inches with local maxima of 8 inches across northwest North Carolina and southwest Virginia.

Major to record river flooding will continue across central Florida through next week. Considerable flash and urban flooding, and minor river flooding is possible across coastal and northeast South Carolina Friday. Locally considerable flash, urban, and small stream flooding is possible Friday into Saturday across portions of northwest North Carolina and southwest Virginia. Limited flooding is possible across portions of the southern Mid-Atlantic this weekend.

TORNADOES: Potential for a few tornadoes will begin late Friday morning along a portion of the coastal Carolinas, spread inland across eastern North Carolina during the afternoon and evening, and shift into southeast Virginia overnight through early Saturday morning.

SURF: Swells generated by Ian are affecting the northern coast of Cuba, the northeastern coast of the Yucatan peninsula, Florida and Georgia. Swells will increase along the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Source: National Hurricane Center

This article was generated by the Miami Herald Bot, artificial intelligence software that analyzes information from the National Hurricane Center and applies it to templates created by journalists in the newsroom. We are experimenting with this and other new ways of providing more useful content to our readers and subscribers. You can report errors or bugs to mcclatchybot@mcclatchy.com. Full hurricane coverage at miamiherald.com/news/weather/hurricane/