PNNL leads coastal study to help prep for wildfires, floods and climate change

Consider an eerie photograph of a forlorn ghost forest in a marsh where a thriving woodland once stood.

Recall dramatic footage from earlier this year of people in Western Washington trapped in their homes as floodwaters raged through once-tranquil neighborhoods.

These jarring images highlight the importance of understanding what happens in nature’s transition zones — areas that can be dry land at times and under water at other times.

The two examples also illustrate how these changes occur over different time scales: decades in some cases, days in others.

Scientists at the Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National Laboratory are leading a multi-institution collaboration focused on better understanding the impact that flood events, rising tides and changes in sea levels can have on trees, plants, soil and water.

They hope to learn how and why transition zones shrink and grow in response to natural and man-made events. This information will help us better understand the impact of climate change, as well as guide efforts to protect our forests and homes against storms that can wreak havoc.

Before researchers can understand the fundamental mechanisms that control what happens in these coastal ecosystems, however, they need to study the associated biologic, geologic and chemical systems and collect data at scales ranging from the microscopic level to multi-state regions.

PNNL is doing just that in a set of studies that involves four other national laboratories, two universities and the Smithsonian Environmental Research Center.

The effort, funded by DOE’s Office of Science, is called COMPASS — short for Coastal Observations, Mechanisms and Predictions Across Systems and Scales.

The largest COMPASS project focuses on collecting samples, taking measurements and conducting experiments in the Chesapeake Bay and Western Lake Erie, two distinct regions with saltwater and freshwater coasts.

Researchers aim to address the critical knowledge gap about the causes, mechanics and consequences of specific activities in the transition zones, which are also known as coastal terrestrial-aquatic interfaces.

What they learn from similarities and differences in those areas will be applicable around the world, including in the Northwest.

A day in the life of a researcher could involve gathering meteorology data as well as measuring soil conditions, greenhouse gas emissions, groundwater profiles, microbial activity or even collecting information about carbon and nitrogen in plants and sap flow in nearby trees.

The scientists work on laboratory experiments to explore how materials collected in field behave under controlled conditions.

They also conduct large-scale experiments in the field to see how entire ecosystems may respond to change.

One part of the study near the Chesapeake Bay involves purposely inundating land with salt and fresh water to compare the differences between a storm surge and rainfall.

Scientists will take measurements from the dry upland areas to the edge of the wetlands to closely examine the interactions among hydrology, soils and vegetation.

The COMPASS research will ultimately improve our ability to predict how coastal terrestrial-aquatic interfaces will respond to short-term changes, such as extended rainfall, as well as long-term changes, such as increasing temperatures or rising sea levels.

Researchers will develop ways to represent the transformations and exchanges that take place across transition zones in Earth system models.

This data will improve our ability to predict behavior at the interfaces of land and oceans, which is a notable gap in today’s models that focus separately on land, ocean and atmosphere.

COMPASS will deliver a prototype module that can be incorporated into such models and made available to the research community.

PNNL’s leadership role in COMPASS exemplifies our expertise in Earth science, soil science, biology, data science and chemistry.

Today, scientists are focused on understanding processes; however, their research will eventually have broad societal impacts related to planning and managing these critical areas that are under water at times and dry land at others.

Steven Ashby is director of Pacific Northwest National Laboratory in Richland.