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'We're not going to fix it': Why lawmakers see no chance of major gun law changes after Nashville

WASHINGTON – Lawmakers from both parties said the prospects for major gun control legislation advancing in a divided Congress are slim even as President Joe Biden said he has exhausted what he can do to address gun violence through executive action.

It appears the nation's latest mass shooting – a massacre Monday at a Christian school in Nashville, Tennessee – could turn into a familiar story: calls for sweeping gun control laws, followed by inaction.

Joe Biden: No more options without Congress

  • Renewing push: Biden renewed his push for Congress to reinstate the nation's ban on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, which expired in 2004 after 10 years as law, after Monday's shooting at The Covenant School in Nashville. He also wants Congress to close loopholes that allow firearms dealers to skirt gun background checks.

  • 'Weapons of war': “Why in God's name do we allow these weapons of war on our streets and our schools?” Biden said Tuesday. “I never thought when I started my public life that guns would be the No. 1 killer of children in America."

  • Biden looks to Congress: After taking multiple executive actions on guns in his first two years in office, Biden said he has exercised the "full extent" of his executive authority on guns. "The Congress has to act."

More: 'Congress has to act': Biden says there's nothing more he can do on his own to address guns

President Joe Biden speaks to reporters before boarding Air Force One at Raleigh-Durham International Airport in Morrisville, N.C., on Tuesday.
President Joe Biden speaks to reporters before boarding Air Force One at Raleigh-Durham International Airport in Morrisville, N.C., on Tuesday.

Recent history suggests a legislative long shot

But a ban on assault weapons lacks the votes in Republican-led House. And it even faces an uphill fight in the Democratic-led Senate despite a series of mass shootings that has again shined a spotlight on access to AR-15s and other semiautomatic weapons.

After mass shootings in Buffalo, New York, and Uvalde, Texas, the House under Democratic control last year voted narrowly to approve a Democratic-backed assault weapons ban by a 217-213 vote.

More: 'A family's worst nightmare': Biden reacts to Nashville shooting, urges assault weapons ban

Democrats no longer have a House majority, and nothing from House Republicans since the Nashville shooting suggests they're willing to flip their opposition.

Last year's bill was never taken up by the Senate, which lacked 60 votes to overcome a Republican filibuster. Yet it was not even clear whether all Democratic senators supported the legislation – and that remains the case in a Senate Democrats now control 51-49.

A group prays with a child on March 27, 2023, after a shooting at The Covenant School in Nashville, Tenn.
A group prays with a child on March 27, 2023, after a shooting at The Covenant School in Nashville, Tenn.

'Not the answer': What Republicans are saying on guns after Nashville attack

  • House Majority Leader Steve Scalise accused Biden and Democrats of politicizing the Nashville shooting with their calls of an assault weapons ban. “All they want to do is take guns away from law-abiding citizens before they even know the facts,” he said in a news conference Tuesday. “And that’s not the answer.”

  • House Republicans in Tennessee remain opposed to tighter gun regulations. "We're not going to fix it," U.S. Rep. Tim Burchett, R-Tenn., told reporters Monday. "Criminals are going to be criminals."

  • Several Republicans expressed greater concerns about the transgender identity of the shooting suspect, 28-year-old Audrey Hale, than the assault-style weapons used in the attack. "If early reports are accurate that a trans shooter targeted a Christian school, there needs to be a lot of soul searching on the extreme left," Sen. J.D. Vance, R-Ohio, tweeted. "Giving in to these ideas isn't compassion, it's dangerous."

  • Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., called on federal law enforcement to investigate the shooting as a hate crime. "This murderous rampage, this taking of innocent life, was a horrific crime, but more specifically, it was a hate crime,” he said on the House floor Tuesday.

More: Andy Ogles, GOP congressman representing Nashville shooting site, criticized for posing with guns in family Christmas photo

A glimmer of hope for gun control activists?

Despite long-standing disagreements on guns, a bipartisan group of lawmakers last year approved legislation after the Uvalde and Buffalo shootings that – although more modest than Biden's preference – provided incentives for states to adopt red-flag gun laws and enhanced background checks on young buyers.

The moment suggests a glimmer of hope for gun control activists after Nashville's shooting but probably not at the scale they want.

More: Nashville school shooting renews gun control push: 'How many more classrooms must become crime scenes?'

Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, who helped pass the bipartisan gun bill, said the Senate doesn't have enough votes to go any further. "I would say we’ve gone about as far as we can go unless somebody identifies some area that we didn’t address."

He said Biden's proposed assault weapon ban repeats talking points, lacks support in Congress and "would require the confiscation of 16 million semiautomatic weapons that are owned by law-abiding citizens."

Dig deeper: Why Tenn. Republican Tim Burchett says Congress would only 'mess things up' after school shooting

Could Democrats force a Senate vote on assault weapons ban?

  • Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., who has led the push for gun control legislation in the Senate, told Punchbowl News that Senate Democrats should at some point consider forcing a vote on an assault weapons ban to see where senators stand. "Mass shootings dropped significantly when the 1994 ban went into effect, and then spiked when the ban expired."

  • Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, though, was noncommittal on bringing a bill to the floor. "We're working hard to get enough votes to pass it," he said.

  • Democrats don't seem encouraged about legislation for universal gun background checks, either. Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin said he'd like to take up a bill to expand background checks but added, "I'm a realist."

Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., is among Democrats who want a vote on banning assault weapons.
Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., is among Democrats who want a vote on banning assault weapons.

Contributing: Candy Woodall

Reach Joey Garrison on Twitter @joeygarrison.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Even after Nashville shooting, why action on gun control is long shot