The Trends At NL Industries (NYSE:NL) That You Should Know About

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at NL Industries (NYSE:NL) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on NL Industries is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.0069 = US$3.6m ÷ (US$543m - US$27m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

So, NL Industries has an ROCE of 0.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Commercial Services industry average of 9.9%.

Check out our latest analysis for NL Industries

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Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for NL Industries' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating NL Industries' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

So How Is NL Industries' ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at NL Industries doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 0.7% from 1.0% five years ago. However it looks like NL Industries might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

What We Can Learn From NL Industries' ROCE

To conclude, we've found that NL Industries is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 153% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.

One more thing, we've spotted 3 warning signs facing NL Industries that you might find interesting.

While NL Industries may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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