Hurricane Center tracking 4 disturbances in the Atlantic. One will likely enter the Gulf.

Justin Mitchell
·2 min read

The National Hurricane Center in Miami is tracking four disturbances — all of them in the Atlantic Ocean, with one forecast to enter the Gulf of Mexico — as of 8 p.m. EST Thursday.

“It’s a busy outlook map tonight,” NHC Atlantic tweeted, along with the latest graphic that shows the locations and predictions of development for all four systems.

As of Thursday night, however, only one disturbance has a chance to affect the U.S. over the next week. South Florida will get rain from the system as it moves of the area this weekend, according to the Miami Herald.

Here’s everything you need to know:

  • Disturbance 1: While there’s a 40% chance for development into a tropical depression over the next two days, the system in the central tropical Atlantic is disorganized and there’s only a marginal chance for further strengthening.

  • Disturbance 2: This system is the furthest away from the United States but has the highest chance of strengthening into a tropical depression or storm by the weekend (70%). However, the NHC says, conditions for development become unfavorable in the Atlantic early next week.

  • Disturbance 3: This system is near the Lesser Antilles but has a low (20%) chance for development over the next week.

  • Disturbance 4: An area of disturbed weather just north of Hispaniola is forecast to move into the Gulf by early next week, NHC forecasters say, where a low pressure system could form. Development is possible as the system moves toward the coastline next week. The chance for development over the next seven days is low at 30%, but people who live in states such as Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi should keep an eye on the system.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami is tracking four disturbances in the Atlantic on August 17, 2023.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami is tracking four disturbances in the Atlantic on August 17, 2023.

Late August begins peak time for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season that can affect Gulf states, Florida, Georgia and North Carolina and South Carolina.

Keep up with the latest tropics updates at hurricanes.gov.

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