When Can We Expect A Profit From Almonty Industries Inc. (TSE:AII)?

Almonty Industries Inc. (TSE:AII) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Almonty Industries Inc. engages in mining, processing, and shipping tungsten concentrate. The CA$173m market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of CA$7.8m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of CA$9.9m leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Almonty Industries' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? In this article, we will touch on the expectations for the company's growth and when analysts expect it to become profitable.

See our latest analysis for Almonty Industries

According to the 2 industry analysts covering Almonty Industries, the consensus is that breakeven is near. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2023, before generating positive profits of CA$7.9m in 2024. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven just over a year from today. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2024? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 75% year-on-year, on average, which is rather optimistic! If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

We're not going to go through company-specific developments for Almonty Industries given that this is a high-level summary, though, bear in mind that typically metals and mining companies, depending on the stage of operation and metals mined, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means that a high growth rate is not unusual, especially if the company is currently in an investment period.

One thing we would like to bring into light with Almonty Industries is its debt-to-equity ratio of over 2x. Typically, debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, which in this case, the company has significantly overshot. Note that a higher debt obligation increases the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Almonty Industries, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Almonty Industries' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of relevant aspects you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is Almonty Industries worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Almonty Industries is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Almonty Industries’s board and the CEO’s background.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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