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2024 Emmys Drama Series Predictions

Emmys: Drama Series – ‘Fallout’ Premieres and Becomes Latest Video Game Adaptation to Vie for Emmy Love
Emmys: Drama Series – ‘Fallout’ Premieres and Becomes Latest Video Game Adaptation to Vie for Emmy Love

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:

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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Drama Series

The_Morning_Show
The_Morning_Show

Commentary (Updated April 11, 2024): The drama series category is poised for a significant overhaul in the upcoming Emmy season.

Prime Video is entering the Emmy fray with its own dystopian video game adaptation “Fallout,” starring Ella Purnell and Walton Goggins. Given the TV Academy’s recent history of embracing genre series, such as “The Boys” for its second season, “Fallout” could resonate well in the evolving landscape, contending with other shows like Netflix’s “Avatar: The Last Airbender” and Disney+’s “Ahsoka.”

Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.


And the Predicted Nominees Are

Rank

Series

1

The Crown” (Netflix)

2

The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

3

The Gilded Age” (Max)

4

Fallout” (Prime Video)

5

The Curse” (Showtime)

6

Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)

7

Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

8

3 Body Problem” (Netflix)


Next in Line

Rank

Series

9

Loki” (Disney+)

10

Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)

11

Ahsoka” (Disney+)

12

Sugar” (Apple TV+)

13

Law & Order: SVU” (NBC)

14

Justified: City Primeval” (FX)

15

Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)


Also In Contention

Rank

Series

16

The New Look” (Apple TV+)

17

Dark Winds” (AMC)

18

Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

19

One Piece” (Netflix)

20

For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)

21

Billions” (Showtime)

22

Hijack” (Apple TV+)

23

Parish” (AMC)

24

Lupin” (Netflix)

25

Tokyo Vice” (Max)

Eligible Titles (Drama Series)

Eligible Titles (Drama Series)
Eligible Titles (Drama Series)


**The list below is not complete and have been confirmed as officially submitted. All information is subject to change. Grouped by network that airs each series.

  • “9-1-1” (ABC)

  • The Good Doctor” (ABC)

  • Grey’s Anatomy” (ABC)

  • “The Rookie” (ABC)

  • “Station 19” (ABC)

  • “Will Trent” (ABC)

  • “Dark Winds” (AMC)

  • “Parish” (AMC)

  • “The Walking Dead: Daryl Dixon” (AMC)

  • “The Walking Dead: The Ones Who Live” (AMC)

  • “The Buccaneers” (Apple TV+)

  • “The Changeling” (Apple TV+)

  • “Constellation” (Apple TV+)

  • “Foundation” (Apple TV+)

  • “Hijack” (Apple TV+)

  • “Invasion” (Apple TV+)

  • “For All Mankind” (Apple TV+)

  • “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+)

  • “The New Look” (Apple TV+)

  • “Monarch: Legacy of Monsters” (Apple TV+)

  • “Silo” (Apple TV+)

  • Slow Horses” (Apple TV+)

  • “Sugar” (Apple TV+)

  • “Swagger” (Apple TV+)

  • “Doctor Who” (BBC One)

  • “All the Queen’s Men” (BET+)

  • Blue Bloods” (CBS)

  • CSI: Vegas” (CBS)

  • “Elsbeth” (CBS)

  • “The Equalizer” (CBS)

  • “FBI” (CBS)

  • “FBI: International” (CBS)

  • “FBI: Most Wanted” (CBS)

  • Fire Country” (CBS)

  • “Magnum P.I.” (CBS)

  • NCIS” (CBS)

  • NCIS: Hawai’i” (CBS)

  • “NCIS: Sydney” (CBS)

  • S.W.A.T.” (CBS)

  • “Tracker” (CBS)

  • “All American” (The CW)

  • “Sullivan’s Crossing” (The CW)

  • “Superman & Lois” (The CW)

  • “Titans” (The CW)

  • “Walker” (The CW)

  • “Walker: Independence” (The CW)

  • “Ahsoka” (Disney+)

  • “Loki” (Disney+)

  • “Alert: Missing Persons Unit” (Fox)

  • “DOC” (Fox)

  • “Rescue: HI-Surf” (Fox)

  • “Justified: City Primeval” (FX)

  • “Mayans M.C.” (FX)

  • Snowfall” (FX)

  • “Alex Rider” (Freevee)

  • “Almost Paradise” (Freevee)

  • “Bosch: Legacy” (Freevee)

  • “The Way Home” (Hallmark)

  • “Black Cake” (Hulu)

  • “The Gilded Age” (Max)

  • “The Girls on the Bus” (Max)

  • “The Tourist” (Max)

  • “Tokyo Vice” (Max)

  • “Warrior” (Max)

  • “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max)

  • Godfather of Harlem” (MGM+)

  • Chicago Fire” (NBC)

  • Chicago Med” (NBC)

  • Chicago P.D.” (NBC)

  • “Found” (NBC)

  • “The Irrational” (NBC)

  • Law & Order” (NBC)

  • “Law & Order: Organized Crime” (NBC)

  • “Law & Order: Special Victims Unit” (NBC)

  • New Amsterdam” (NBC)

  • Quantum Leap” (NBC)

  • “3 Body Problem” (Netflix)

  • “Avatar: The Last Airbender” (Netflix)

  • The Crown” (Netflix)

  • “The Lincoln Lawyer” (Netflix)

  • “Lupin” (Netflix)

  • “One Piece” (Netflix)

  • “The Witcher” (Netflix)

  • “The Green Veil” (The Network)

  • “Halo” (Paramount+)

  • “Joe Pickett” (Paramount+)

  • “Sexy Beast” (Paramount+)

  • “Sky Med” (Paramount+)

  • “Special Ops: Lioness” (Paramount+)

  • “Star Trek: Discovery” (Paramount+)

  • Star Trek: Strange New Worlds” (Paramount+)

  • “Dr. Death” (Peacock)

  • “American Rust Broken Justice” (Prime Video)

  • “The Baxters” (Prime Video)

  • “Beacon 23” (Prime Video)

  • “Belgravia: The Next Chapter” (Prime Video)

  • “Billy the Kid” (Prime Video)

  • “Fallout” (Prime Video)

  • “Harlan Coben’s Shelter” (Prime Video)

  • “Mr. & Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video)

  • “Outer Range” (Prime Video)

  • “Reacher” (Prime Video)

  • “The Summer I Turned Pretty” (Prime Video)

  • “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” (Prime Video)

  • “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video)

  • “With Love” (Prime Video)

  • “Billions” Showtime)

  • “The Chi” (Showtime)

  • “The Curse” (Showtime)

  • “The Woman in the Wall” (Showtime)

  • “BMF” (Starz)

  • “Outlander” (Starz)

  • “Power Book IV: Force” (Starz)

  • “Power Book III: Raising Kanan” (Starz)

  • Chucky” (Syfy)

More Information (Drama)

2023 category winner: “Succession” (HBO) — Season 4 — Jesse Armstrong, Adam McKay, Will Ferrell, Frank Rich, Kevin Messick, Mark Mylod, Jane Tranter, Tony Roche, Scott Ferguson, Jon Brown, Lucy Prebble and Will Tracy, executive producers; Dara Schnapper, Georgia Pritchett and Ted Cohen, co-executive producers; Susan Soon He Stanton, supervising producer; Gabrielle Mahon, produced by; Francesca Gardiner, consulting producer

2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

  • Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024

  • Feb. 29: Submissions open

  • May 9: Deadline for programs that identify as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.

  • June 13: Nominations-round voting begins

  • June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT

  • June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)

  • July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.

  • July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.

  • August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.

  • August 15: Final-round voting begins.

  • August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.

  • Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala

  • Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

Emmy Awards Predictions

Drama

Comedy

Limited/Movie

Drama Series

Comedy Series

Limited or Anthology Series

Lead Actor (Drama)

Lead Actor (Comedy)

Lead Actor (Limited, Movie)

Lead Actress (Drama)

Lead Actress (Comedy)

Lead Actress (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actor (Drama)

Supporting Actor (Comedy)

Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie)

Supporting Actress (Drama)

Supporting Actress (Comedy)

Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie)

Directing (Drama)

Directing (Comedy)

Directing (Limited, Movie)

Writing (Drama)

Writing (Comedy)

Writing (Limited, Movie)

Guest Actor (Drama)

Guest Actor (Comedy)

Television Movie

Guest Actress (Drama)

Guest Actress (Comedy)

Casting (Limited, Movie)

Casting (Drama)

Casting (Comedy)

Other Awards Predictions

Talk Series

Reality Competition Program

Animated Program

Scripted Variety

Game Show

Character Voice-Over Performance

Variety Special (Live)

Host for a Reality or Competition Program

Narrator

Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)

Structured Reality

Documentary (Series)

Directing (Series, Special)

Unstructured Reality

Documentary (Special)

Writing (Series, Special)

Directing (Reality Program)

Hosted Nonfiction (Series or Special)

Music (Limited, Movie, Special, Series, Documentary, Direction, Theme Music, Lyrics, Supervision)

Main Title Design

Writing (Nonfiction)

Short Form Series

Short Form (Actor/Actress)

Exceptional Merit

About the Primetime Emmy Awards

The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship, and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy, which hosts the Emmys, consists of over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.

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